A contribution to regional planning finalized for fire resilience

The study deals with a plan hypothesis for a sustainable development in the inner region of Barigadu (Sardinia), based on the prevention of fires. Common aspects of all fires are the abandonment of the territory and the lack of properly managed agro-pastoral practices, which favor the formation of highly flammable plant material which, together with an increase in the High Temperature Day (HTD) and the decrease in annual averages of rain, leads to increasing the probability of triggering fires and the areas they can affect. The work provides a forecast model (burn probabilities) in the current conditions, a set of practices based on land use, seen both in terms of fire prevention and in terms of improving the socio-economic conditions, and a simulation of the burn probabilities if the proposed plan was implemented.