Produktive und wirtschaftliche anpassung der mediterranen landwirtschaft an den klimawandel

Farmers plan annual activities taking into account the effects of the inherent variability of climate on plant and animal production. This variability is here represented by probability distributions of plant and animal production. A stochastic programming model associates the decision-making mechanisms of agricultural supply in an area of the Mediterranean basin to the variability of production due to climatic conditions. The analysis is carried out under the conditions of both present and near future climate. The results show that the transition to the future climate has different effects on different types of farms and the various production areas, particularly between irrigated and nonirrigated regions. This requires specific and different adaptation strategies for the various cases.