La valutazione bayesiana delle prove incerte The Bayesian evaluation of uncertain evidence

Bayesianism uses Bayes' theorem to determine a hypothesis's probability based on a new piece of evidence. However, the traditional Bayesian approach cannot integrate intrinsically uncertain evidence, such as those testimonies that report events, attributing only a more or less high degree of probability to important details of them. The work shows how, thanks to R. C. Jeffrey's generalisation, which he called Bayesian kinematics, one can integrate intrinsically uncertain evidence into the Bayesian approach.